Calculated, not guessed.
Compare two to four options over 12, 24 or 36 months. For each one, enter the upfront cost, the monthly cost, a low, likely and high monthly benefit, how long before it starts and the chance it works at all. A simulation of 4,000 runs gives each option its expected value, its range, its chance of losing money and when it pays back. No AI is involved and it uses no credits.
- Hire · expected
- £41,000
- Hire · chance of loss
- 18%
- Outsource · expected
- £26,500
- Outsource · chance of loss
- 6%
Options are compared by whoever talks best
A single forecast in a slide hides the range of what might happen, and the assumptions behind it are rarely on the table.
Every assumption in view
You enter your own low, likely and high numbers. It's a seeded simulation, so the same inputs always give the same answer.
- 1
Ask the question
For example: hire, outsource, or do nothing?
- 2
Describe each option
Costs, benefit range, delay and chance of success.
- 3
Compare
Expected value, the likely range, the chance of a loss and the payback month, side by side.
Two to four options
Over 12, 24 or 36 months.
Ranges, not one number
A low case, a middle case and a high case.
Chance of losing money
Stated plainly for each option.
Repeatable
Same inputs, same result.
30 free credits a month
With a Zelvorm account. Each module says what a run uses.
A failed run costs nothing
Credits are only spent on results.
Private to your workspace
Results stay yours unless you share them.
Decision Futures, answered.
Compare business decisions side by side: costs, benefits, odds and timing.
No. It's a calculation you can check.
More from Zelvorm Intelligence.
Try it in the Intelligence workspace.
30 free credits a month with a Zelvorm account. Results are saved, shareable and private to you.